Women in their early thirties were once the demographic holding U.S. births up. Over 2015-2024 their birth rate fell 8% nationally, and the decline was broad: just eight states saw rates rise. Washington DC fell hardest at -21%, and seven of the ten steepest declines were Western states — Oregon (-17%), Washington and Utah (-16%), Nevada (-15%), Alaska (-14%), Montana (-13%). The gainers are small and mostly rural or Southern: Nebraska and Mississippi (+3%), with Iowa, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia and Connecticut up 1%. Texas tracked slightly better than the nation at -6%.
Births are the clock behind a large slice of household demand — nursery furniture, kids' storage, larger-format appliances and the move to a bigger home. A decade of -8% means the categories tied to new families grow more slowly than population alone would suggest, while spending shifts toward smaller households: compact furniture, single-serve kitchenware, pet products. The regional split matters for stocking decisions: the West is where the drop is sharpest, while the South and the Plains hold up better — one more reason Texas and the Southeast anchor our distribution planning. Read alongside the U.S. birth-rate inflection, the senior population by state, and our U.S. market hub.
Source: Hamilton BE, "A Decade of Changes in State Fertility Rates for Women Age 30 and Older: United States, 2015-2024". Visualization: Visual Capitalist / Voronoi. Original infographic reproduced above with source attribution intact.